The importance of two East Malaysia States is fading into oblivion.
The two traditional fixed political deposit States of Sabah and Sarawak are currently facing new dimensional relationship problems within BN family. SUPP and SPDP in Sarawak are saddled with new emerging internal problems which can threaten the existing cordial relationship of State BN. The current split with these two partners of State BN can lead to continuing unresolved political problems in the coming PRU 13. This will directly affect the 31 MP seats to be contested by State BN partners. The likely unresolved crisis within these two parties may drag on until the date of PRU 13 is known. Most political pundits predicted that the PRU 13 may be held within six months from now. Judging from the magnitude of these two internal political leadership crisis, there appears to be no immediate available solutions to resolve the current impasse. Under such circumstance, Sarawak BN may not be in an advantage position to effectively contribute to the existing political strength of national BN set up. The prolonged internal State inter-party crisis can contribute to further weakening of State BN strength especially after State Bn dismal loss of majority Chinese based State seats to the opposition in the recent State General Election. This scenario works to the advantage of Pakatan in Sarawak especially with the recent attack by the international media against Pehin Seri Taib and HIS crony corrupt Leadership. The longer the current crisis remain unsolved the worst would be the chance of State BN maintaining the existing MP numerical strength especially in majority non bumi eight voting constituencies in major towns. Perhaps three other non-Muslim MP seats may also be directly affected by this current political upheaval. Most educated voters in Sarawak of all races predict that around 12 to 15 MP seats would likely be won by the opposition assuming PBB political influence remains intact as the backbone of State BN. However, PBB internal squabbles regarding the selection of potential candidates for PRU 13 may also affect and contribute to worsening the existing internally generated political impasse with in State BN. State leadership will be facing the worst possible deli-ma since independence with out UMNO influence as the backbone. Sabah BN set up is not that all rosy? The four Muslim factions need to be Addressed carefully. The factions involved Musa,Salleh Syed Keruak and Anipah; Ghafoor Salleh,Datuk Lazim and Mokhtar Radin and Shaffie Afdal,Karim Bujang and Hajiji is another and the other faction is Datuk Seri Ususukam and the former Usno leaders of Bajau Suluk together with some non-Muslim bumi MPs who are aligned with Tengku Razaleigh under AMANAH outfit. Sabah politics have always been fraught with squabbles every end of a decade. Since Datuk Musa Aman became Chief Minster after the end of rotation system, intra party quarrels have recently weaken the State Coalition. Direct conflict between Musa and Mr. Chong Kah Kit on religious issue is an open secret. Musa also tried to alienate Shaffie Afdal and the gang. The Bajau Suluk nationalistic feeling is mounting especially against the economic dominance of the Pakistani group of minority in Sabah politic. The spirit to revive USNO is gaining momentum among the Bajau Suluk voters currently led by Shafie AfdaL and Datuk Ususukam. The news of Musa's move to bring his bother HANIFAH AMAN back to succeed him added salt to the current politically induced racial wounds. The Brunei and the Biscay’s group i.e Karim Bujang and Datuk Lazim are not infavour of Musa continuing to helm the State Umno Leadership. Musa's unsolved financial scandalous affairs in Hongkong is a continuous liability for BN and Sabah leadership. Time is running out for the Federal leadership to take drastic measures to address the issue effectively. The brewing undercurrent political discontents within UMNO and intra party of BN setup could not possible be amicably resolved under the current situation. The magnitude of the political problems faced by Sabah BN leadership could not possible be solved before this PRU 13.Hence Sabah MP seats may be drastically reduced to around half. This does not seem promising for the national BN strength especially if you take the overall result with Sarawak performance as predicted earlier. The overall position of national position is precariously dangerous. What are the formula for federal leadership under Dato Seri Najib to ensure that Putra Jaya will still remain in BN control after PRU 13 ? There are three major and pertinent issue which should be looked seriously and immediately by the Putra Jaya leadership. First the PM must immediately try to solidify bumiputra support to BN in Sabah and Sarawak by extending new economic benefits through increasing the percentage of PETRONAS equity. PETRONAS Management structure must reflect a truly representative PARTICIPATION by the two contribution states. Secondly, HE must be daring and bold enough to take immediate action against his cabinet colleagues who are publicly known to be involved in corruption and scandalous acts without any further hesitation to show that he is sincere and committed to weed off bad elements within the administration. Thirdly, He should request his minister of consumer affairs to devise an economic model to immediately curb the spiraling and uncontrollable increase of essential commodities prices which was invariably caused by the financial windfall gift of five hundred per person earning below 3000 ringgit and the 100 rm for each student. This counterproductive effects of that unthinkable move defeat the very purposes of the main aim for which the economic formula was originally aiming to achieve. This scenario only indicated that the program is not well-thought. Fourthly, Pm should not be so over committed to extend new and extraordinary financial commitment especially on bursaries and scholarships to the ungrateful communities who are known to be anti BN irrespective of whether they are helped of neglected. Indications point to one clear sign that they will not vote for the BN government. Fifthly, the PM must necessarily increase the numbers of religious trained leadership into his incoming choice of candidates to counter the impressive influence of pas especially in predominantly Malay/Muslim constituencies. The current religious leaders in Bn are not effective or at least does not seem to show any improvement in posing an influential Islamic image of the administration in spite of its massive propaganda. To counter and win over PAS current supporters BN must necessarily employed quality Islamic leadership into the system immediately not merely by rhetoric. The present minster of religious affairs has not done much to improve the BN Islamic image. The strength is grossly in sufficient. Merely concentrating on the potential support of younger intellectually secular generation without taking into serious consideration on the seriousness and effective contribution of Islamic religious flavor into the system may end up in failure and political frustration. Quality religious flavor must be built as the major base support of the one Malaysia Policy to ensure material and spiritual success of the developed nation. Purely secularism does not and will not stand the test of time because image of FOAM can easily be destroyed by the waves caused by inclement and stormy political weather. In this respect PAK LAH ISLAM HIDARI should necessarily be reengaged and improvised seriously to give essence to the Islamic Development of One Malaysia. by dsj.23/12/2011 8.18 am. |
Sunday, 29 January 2012
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